Service Plays Tuesday 7/20/10

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The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

The Rx.com will not tolerate posters that post false records of any services they track. Please be truthful if you decide to track a particular service.

Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




TheRX.com Policy on Posting Handicapper Plays:
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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
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To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Tuesday’s Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking

David Bush (4-7, 4.07 ERA), Milwaukee Brewers

Bush’s numbers aren’t going to blow bettors away but here at Covers, we fully support the "Just Win Baby" philosophy of Al Davis, and Bush has done that. The former Blue Jays prospect is on a six-game, quality start streak.

He sports a 2.40 ERA during the hot run and the under has cashed in his last four outings.

Tommy Hunter (6-0, 2.39 ERA), Texas Rangers

This Texas righty is flying a bit under the radar these days with rotation members C.J. Wilson and Cliff Lee grabbing most of the headlines. Hunter has been dynamite since rejoining the big league club in early June.

The Rangers are 7-1 in his eight starts and he’s yet to allow more than three runs in an outing this season.

Slumping

Mike Leake (6-1, 3.53 ERA), Cincinnati Reds

Leake’s drop in production was an inevitable. The kid was pitching out of his mind for the first half of the season and you’ve got to figure that right arm of his is getting tired.

The Reds don’t agree with us. Leake pitched the longest outing of his career in his last start, going 8.1 innings. He was fantastic through the first eight innings but the Phils knocked him around for five runs in the ninth inning.

He’s delivered duds in four of his last six starts and he owns a bloated 6.14 ERA over the cold streak.

Returning

Dallas Braden (4-7, 3.83 ERA), Oakland Athletics

It seems like a long time ago that Dallas Braden threw that perfect gem. He was pretty average after the game of his career and made his way to the disabled list in the last week of June. He complained of soreness in his pitching elbow but we’re not sure if that played a role in his shaky minor league rehab start.

Braden pitched 4.0 innings, allowed three runs and was taken out of the park twice.
 
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HOT LINES

Tuesday's Best MLB Bets

San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves (-165, 8)

It’s highly unlikely any analysts predicted these two teams would be leading their respective divisions at this point of the season. But here they are and both squads have discovered some offense recently.

The Braves have played to three straight overs while San Diego has cashed four in a row after averaging 8.8 runs per game during its streak. But make no mistake; the success of these clubs is a direct result of quality pitching.

“When you think about them, you think about their pitching. Their pitching is fantastic,” Derek Lowe said of the Padres’ staff which boasts the best ERA in baseball. “We're very confident in our starting pitching. It should be a great three-game pitchers' duel hopefully."

Under bettors just wet their pants. The starting pitchers in this matchup also strengthen Lowe’s prediction. There haven’t been more than eight runs scored in seven of Wade LeBlanc’s last eight starts and Jair Jurrjens has pitched two straight unders since returning from the disabled list.

The Friars are riding a four-game winning streak while Atlanta is 22-5 in its last 27 home games. So instead of trying to find a winner, the safest bet would be to take the under.

Pick: Under


Boston Red Sox at Oakland Athletics (-120, 8)

After five straight victories the A’s are back in AL West contention. And surprisingly, all of those wins came behind an offensive awakening.

Oakland has plated 40 runners during its streak and averaged just under seven runs per outing during a three-game sweep of the Royals.

"We did everything right in this series," said Kevin Kouzmanoff. "We're all feeling pretty good right now and we're all taking advantage of our opportunities."

The Red Sox offense has been depleted by injuries but the heart of the order consisting of Kevin Youkilis, David Ortiz and Adrian Beltre can still carry a team. Production from Mike Cameron and Bill Hall has also supplied Boston with some extra pop.

All three games in a series between these teams earlier this season sailed over the posted total with an average of 13.3 runs per game and no fewer than 10. Going back to last season, seven straight overs have cashed between these clubs and 10 of the last 13.

Oakland Coliseum is known as a pitchers’ park but Mother Nature will be assisting over bettors Tuesday with wind projected to blow directly out to center field at 15 mph.

Pick: Over
 
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WNBA TRENDS AND NOTES
WNBA Trend Factors And Indexes

12:30 PM
SEATTLE vs. SAN ANTONIO
Seattle is 11-3-1 ATS in its last 15 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
San Antonio is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle

3:00 PM
TULSA vs. LOS ANGELES
Tulsa is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tulsa's last 9 games on the road
Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tulsa
Los Angeles is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tulsa

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. CONNECTICUT
New York is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut
New York is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut
Connecticut is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing New York
Connecticut is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing New York
 
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LADY LUCK

Tuesday's Best WNBA Bets

Seattle Storm at San Antonio Silver Stars (+5.5, 152)

The Seattle Storm have kept their winning streak rolling, despite a couple close calls in their past two games.

Seattle, which has won nine games in a row, snuck out of Phoenix with a win in triple overtime win last week and escaped Minnesota with a two-point victory over the Lynx Saturday. The road weary Storm conclude this three-game away swing in San Antonio Tuesday.

"We can't be satisfied with the way we played tonight," Seattle forward Lauren Jackson told reporters after Saturday’s win. "We need to get better. We didn't panic, and that's a great thing."

Seattle failed to cover as a 5.5-point road favorite against Minnesota, dropping to 6-3-1 against the spread on the road this season. San Antonio is coming off a 10-point win over the Los Angeles Sparks this weekend, covering as a 7-point home fave and improving to 5-4 ATS inside the AT&T Center.

Expect the Storm to long for the West Coast in this final game of their road trip before heading home for the next three contests. The Silver Stars will catch them napping.

Pick: San Antonio Silver Stars


New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun (-6.5, 157.5)

The Sun scored a huge win over the No. 1 team in the Eastern Conference this weekend, setting the tone for the second half of their season.

Connecticut knocked off the Atlanta Dream, 96-80, as 6-point home favorites – improving to 8-1 inside Mohegan Sun Arena (7-2 ATS). It was the first time the Sun have beaten the Dream in three meetings this season.

Connecticut got a big boost from its bench, totaling 29 points from the reserves, including 14 points from backup forward Sandrine Gruda.

"The bench gained the lead," reserve Renee Montgomery told the media. "That's not a surprise. There's very talented players coming off the bench."

The Sun have won three straight games over the Liberty at home and four of their last six meetings overall, posting a 3-2-1 ATS mark in that span.

Pick: Connecticut Sun
 
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Bettor's Best Friend (BBF): Tuesday's Wagering Tips


Lines Off The Board

Phillies at Cubs – The total for the game is not available due to the uncertainty of wind speed and direction at Wrigley Field.
Angels at Yankees – The starting pitcher for Anaheim has not been announced.

Lines To Keep An Eye On

Blue Jays at Royals – The total for this game has jumped from an opener of 10 to 10.5 on most boards (check out the wind below).
Phillies at Cardinals – The Red Birds opened as -215 chalk with ace Chris Carpenter on the mound but that moneyline can be found as low as -190.
White Sox at Mariners – An opening total of 7 has moved to 7.5.

Weather Report
(Forecasts are extracted from Weather.com the night before the game.)

Red Sox at Athletics – The National Weather Service projects a 15 mph wind to blow out to center field.
Brewers at Pirates – A 50 percent chance of rain is called for.
Rays at Orioles – There is a 30 percent chance of precipitation.
Rangers at Tigers – The forecast calls for an 11 mph wind to blow in from center field and a 40 percent chance of rain.
Indians at Twins – There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.
Rockies at Marlins – Wind gusts of up to 20 mph are expected to blow in from right-center field.
Blue Jays at Royals – The forecast calls for a 16 mph wind to blow out to left-center field and a 40-50 percent chance of rain.
Nationals at Reds – A 50 percent chance of rain is called for.
Phillies at Cardinals – There is a 40-50 percent chance of precipitation.

Who’s Hot

San Diego has earned four straight victories (+4.10 units).
Seattle (WNBA) has won nine consecutive games, going 6-3 ATS during that stretch.
The Yankees are 8-2 over a 10-game span.

Who’s Not
Arizona is 2-8 in its last 10 games.
The Sparks (WNBA) are 1-4 SU and ATS in their last four outings.
Going into Monday, the Royals were losers of six straight.

Key Stat
39 – Number of 1-0 MLB games this season.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Pirates center fielder Andrew McCutchen was not in Monday's starting lineup against the Brewers. McCutchen is listed as day-to-day with a mild sprain of the AC joint in his shoulder. He left Sunday's game after making a diving catch and landing awkwardly on his shoulder. X-rays came back negative on McCutchen, who is batting .289 with eight home runs and 30 RBIs this season. Jose Tabata started in center field Monday.

Games Of The Day

San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves (-165, 8)
Boston Red Sox at Oakland Athletics (-120, 8)

Notable Quotable

"There's no way, with hindsight, I would've ever called up Larry (Bird), called up Magic (Johnson) and said, 'Hey, look, let's get together and play on one team. But things are different. I can't say that's a bad thing. It's an opportunity these kids have today. In all honesty, I was trying to beat those guys."
-- Michael Jordan said about LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh joining forces on the Heat.

Tips And Notes

- The weather across the country has turned ominous and baseball total bettors should take note. Only two of the 15 games today could be played under the protection of a retractable roof. There is a 30 percent chance of rain or greater in eight games Tuesday and seven contests are projected to see double-digit wind gusts. Check out daily MLB weather here.

- It’s not football season yet but futures odds are already being hit by sharps. And if you a bettor who likes backing guarantees we’ve got one for you. Dolphins majority owner Steve Ross told reporters in June that he thinks his team, “will be playing in the Super Bowl" this season. Miami went 7-9 last year, missing the playoffs, and have a regular season win total of 8.5. The Dolphins are +2000 to win the AFC in 2010 and +4500 to win Super Bowl XLV.

- Tiger Woods experimented with a new putter and it lasted all of three tournament days. After switching to the Nike Method blade in hopes of attaining better control on the slow St. Andrews’ greens at the British Open, Woods didn’t get find the results he wanted. He needed 99 putts to get through the first three rounds of play and collected 10 three-putts in that span. On Sunday, Woods elected to go back with his Titleist Scotty Cameron Newport 2 putter which had been in his bag since 1999. Tiger has been favored in every tournament he’s entered this season and hasn’t won one.
 
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Hondo

It took a while, but Hondo finally Cruz'd with the Rangers in Detroit last night, which caused his defi cit to drop back into three figures at 980 magadans.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch is chumming for Marlin -- 10 units on Robertson to stone the Rockies.
 
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Baseball Prophet

For Tuesday I am going with the
Indians/Twins over 9.5 +105 as my POD.

I also liked:
Padres/Braves under 8
White Sox -140
Reds -1.5 +120
Giants/Dodgers over 6.5
 
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PowerPlayWins

Today's Power Play of The Day is

Sport: MLB


Toronto Blue Jays(-118)

Over
Kansas City Royals

Pitcher: Litsch Game time: 5:00:00 PM (PST)
 
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Ben lee started the week off right and won on Monday with the Reds -$130/Rockies.

For Tuesday "Mr Chalk" has a "Pure Chalk" play on the Cubs -$220/Astros.

"Mr Chalk" is 61-41 -$750 for the 2010 MLB season.
 
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NYSportsAdvisors

TEXAS RANGERS (-125) 1ST 5 INNINGS - 10 UNIT NY CLUB MAX RELEASE


BOSTON REDSOX @ OAKLAND A'S - OVER 8 (-115) - 4 UNITS
 
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Dunkel MLB

Today's MLB Picks

NY Mets at Arizona

The Mets look to bounce back from yesterday's 13-2 thrashing and take advantage of an Arizona team that is 0-5 in its last 5 games after scoring 5 or more runs in the previous game. New York is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Mets favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-125). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JULY 20
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Bush) 14.647; Pittsburgh (Lincoln) 14.283
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-135); Over

Game 953-954: San Diego at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (LeBlanc) 15.045; Atlanta (Jurrjens) 15.657
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-170); Under

Game 955-956: Colorado at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Francis) 15.828; Florida (Robertson) 14.787
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-120); Over

Game 957-958: Washington at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Atilano) 14.974; Cincinnati (Leake) 14.876
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+155); Under

Game 959-960: Houston at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Wright) 14.821; Cubs (Dempster) 15.962
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-250); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-250); N/A

Game 961-962: Philadelphia at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Moyer) 15.745; St. Louis (Carpenter) 15.559
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+170); Over

Game 963-964: NY Mets at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Dickey) 15.553; Arizona (Enright) 14.379
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-125); Under

Game 965-966: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.330; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.536
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-120); Over

Game 967-968: Texas at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Hunter) 15.129; Detroit (Galarraga) 14.109
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-135); Under

Game 969-970: LA Angels at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (O'Sullivan) 15.832; NY Yankees (Hughes) 15.395
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Garza) 15.474; Baltimore (Arrieta) 15.637
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-190); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+170); Under

Game 973-974: Toronto at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Litsch) 15.550; Kansas City (Lerew) 14.786
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Toronto (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-125); Over

Game 975-976: Cleveland at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 15.802; Minnesota (Slowey) 16.279
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-170); Under

Game 977-978: Boston at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Wakefield) 14.520; Oakland (Braden) 15.555
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-120); Over

Game 979-980: Chicago White Sox at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 16.880; Seattle (Fister) 14.108
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 3; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-145); Under
 
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Dunkel WNBA

WNBA Basketball Picks

Seattle at San Antonio

The Storm look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 road games. Seattle is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Storm favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JULY 20
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 601-602: Seattle at San Antonio (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 117.537; San Antonio 108.146
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 9 1/2; 149
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 5 1/2; 152
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-5 1/2); Under

Game 603-604: Tulsa at Los Angeles (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 100.328; Los Angeles 109.082
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 9; 167
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 6; 163
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-6); Over

Game 605-606: New York at Connecticut (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 111.832; Connecticut 114.955
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 3; 159
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 6 1/2; 157 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+6 1/2); Over
 

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